Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating below 37% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub
Below 37% is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 3.
Price history
50¢ current
−19¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 37%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below 37%
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Below 38% 69¢
Range
18¢-69¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-37
Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
50¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$706
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 3
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 37%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-37
Event family
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Below 38% 69¢
Current share
30%
Below 38%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-38
Below 37%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-37
Below 36%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-36
Below 35%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-35
Below 33%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-33
Below 34%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-34
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.