Hunter Biden · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01
Hunter Biden is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01.
Price history
9¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Hunter Biden has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hunter Biden
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Letitia James 45¢
Range
2¢-45¢
Family volume
$978
Identifier
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HBID
Jun 26, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$978
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Hunter Biden has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HBID
Event family
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$978
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Letitia James 45¢
Current share
0%
Letitia James
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LJAM
Ilhan Omar
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-IOMA
Jack Smith
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JSMI
Adam Schiff
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ASCH
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-GNEW
Keith Ellison
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-KELL
Jennifer Siebel Newsom
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JNEW
Reid Hoffman
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-RHOF
Tim Walz
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-TWAL
Chris Krebs
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CKRE
Cassidy Hutchinson
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CHUT
Hunter Biden
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HBID
Hillary Clinton
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HCLI
Barack Obama
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-BOBA
Pam Bondi
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-PBON
Jerome Powell
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JPOW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.455
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.