Jon Ossoff · KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07
Jon Ossoff is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07.
Price history
10¢ current
Contract brief
If Jon Ossoff is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jon Ossoff
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
Andy Beshear 22¢
Range
2¢-22¢
Family volume
$30
Identifier
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JOSS
Oct 11, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 14h ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Family volume
$30
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jon Ossoff is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Identifier
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JOSS
Event family
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$30
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Andy Beshear 22¢
Current share
0%
Andy Beshear
kalshi · KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-ABES
Pete Buttigieg
kalshi · KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-PBUT
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GNEW
Jon Ossoff
kalshi · KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JOSS
Wes Moore
kalshi · KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-WMOO
Josh Shapiro
kalshi · KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JSHA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.