Will Wes Moore be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of $244, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 1,261.9% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag indicating the market is severely mispriced or reflects genuine uncertainty about Moore's candidacy timing relative to other unnamed list members. With 935 days to expiration and a 32 Cliff Risk Index, the market has substantial time decay ahead, but the near-zero liquidity and wide 4¢ spread make this unsuitable for meaningful position-building.

Resolution rules

If Wes Moore is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade