Mette Frederiksen · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Mette Frederiksen is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01.
Price history
13¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Mette Frederiksen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Denmark or has actually left Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mette Frederiksen
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Keir Starmer 98¢
Range
3¢-98¢
Family volume
$19K
Identifier
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MFREPMD
Jun 21, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$13K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$19K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mette Frederiksen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Denmark or has actually left Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MFREPMD
Event family
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$19K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Keir Starmer 98¢
Current share
0%
Keir Starmer
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KSTAUK
Benjamin Netanyahu
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISR
Miguel Díaz-Canel
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC
Aleksandar Vučić
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AVUCPSER
Christopher Luxon
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PLUXPMNZ
Delcy Rodriguez
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DRODAPRE
Ramzan Kadyrov
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RKADCHEC
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
Mette Frederiksen
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MFREPMD
Cyril Ramaphosa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CRAMSAFR
Ahmad al-Sharaa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AALSSYR
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
Daniel Noboa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DNOBECUA
Giorgia Meloni
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GMELITA
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CSHEPMEX
Kim Jong Un
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KJONDPRK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.