Ramzan Kadyrov · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Ramzan Kadyrov is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01.
Price history
14¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Ramzan Kadyrov has either officially announced their intention to leave as Head of the Chechen Republic or has actually left Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ramzan Kadyrov
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Gustavo Petro 94¢
Range
4¢-94¢
Family volume
$17K
Identifier
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RKADCHEC
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$17K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ramzan Kadyrov has either officially announced their intention to leave as Head of the Chechen Republic or has actually left Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RKADCHEC
Event family
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Gustavo Petro 94¢
Current share
0%
Gustavo Petro
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GPETCOL
Miguel Díaz-Canel
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC
Aleksandar Vučić
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AVUCPSER
Benjamin Netanyahu
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISR
Christopher Luxon
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PLUXPMNZ
Delcy Rodriguez
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DRODAPRE
Ramzan Kadyrov
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RKADCHEC
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
Friedrich Merz
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FMERCGER
Cyril Ramaphosa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CRAMSAFR
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
Emmanuel Macron
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-EMACFRA
Ahmad al-Sharaa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AALSSYR
Sanae Takaichi
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-STAKJAP
Daniel Noboa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DNOBECUA
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CSHEPMEX
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.