Peter Strzok · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01
Peter Strzok is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01.
Price history
17¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Peter Strzok has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Peter Strzok
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Anthony Fauci 42¢
Range
3¢-42¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-PSTR
Aug 26, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 47m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$10K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Peter Strzok has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-PSTR
Event family
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Anthony Fauci 42¢
Current share
0%
Anthony Fauci
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-AFAU
John Brennan
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JBRE
Letitia James
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LJAM
Jack Smith
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JSMI
Ilhan Omar
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-IOMA
Peter Strzok
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-PSTR
James Clapper
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JCLA
Gustavo Petro
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-GPET
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-GNEW
Chris Krebs
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CKRE
Jennifer Siebel Newsom
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JNEW
Adam Schiff
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ASCH
Christopher Wray
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CWRA
Tim Walz
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-TWAL
Hunter Biden
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HBID
Bill Clinton
kalshi · KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-BCLI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.577
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.