SimpleFunctions

Las Vegas pro football team win at least 10 games this season

10+ wins is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 15 inside Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least.

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Price history

15¢ current

−7¢
10¢20¢
Jul 7, 2026Aug 5, 2026

Contract brief

If the Las Vegas Pro Football team wins at least 10 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

10+ wins

Rank

#10 of 15

Leader

1+ wins 96¢

Range

1¢-96¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27LV-10

Aug 6, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

15¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 6, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

16¢

Spread

2¢

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#10 of 15

15 outcomes · Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 16¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
14¢795
12¢1.5K
10¢1.0K
8¢1.9K
2¢72
AskSize
16¢525
17¢750
18¢1.5K
23¢2.9K
32¢90

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Las Vegas Pro Football team wins at least 10 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27LV-10

SF Signal
SF Index
682.31
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

15

Highest price

1+ wins 96¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

1+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-1

96¢
$0$0—

2+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-2

92¢
$0$0—

3+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-3

85¢
$0$0—

4+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-4

84¢
$0$59—

5+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-5

69¢
$54$54—

6+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-6

60¢
$109$143—

7+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-7

45¢
$874$874—

8+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-8

33¢
$56$56—

9+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-9

22¢
$0$0—

10+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-10

14¢
$0$0—

11+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-11

8¢
$0$0—

12+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-12

5¢
$0$0—

13+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-13

2¢
$0$0—

14+ wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-14

2¢
$0$0—

17 wins

kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-17

1¢
$0$0—

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1364.6%

IY (No)

36.2%

Adj IY

682%

CRI

6

Overround

5.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

IY (Yes)
1364.6%
IY (No)
36.2%
Adj IY
682%
CRI
6
Overround
5.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.