SimpleFunctions

Las Vegas pro football team win at least 11 games this season

11+ wins is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 15 inside Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least.

Price history

11¢ current

+2¢
10¢
May 29, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the Las Vegas Pro Football team wins at least 11 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

11+ wins

Rank

#11 of 15

Leader

1+ wins 88¢

Range

1¢-88¢

Family volume

$332

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27LV-11

Jun 24, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

Ask

17¢

Spread

Reported volume

$360

Family rank

#11 of 15

15 outcomes · Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$332

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 17¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
8¢5
7¢100
6¢500
4¢1.5K
3¢51
AskSize
17¢5
18¢25
19¢500
20¢550
21¢2.9K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Las Vegas Pro Football team wins at least 11 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27LV-11

SF Signal
SF Index
1011.58
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2023.2%

IY (No)

15.3%

Adj IY

1012%

CRI

12

Overround

5.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2023.2%
15.3%
Adj IY
1012%
12
Overround
5.0%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.