SimpleFunctions

$130.01 or above · Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $

$130.01 or above is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $.

Price history

42¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢
May 9, 2026Jun 8, 2026

Contract brief

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $130 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$130.01 or above

Rank

#4 of 10

Leader

$115.01 or above 56¢

Range

18¢-56¢

Family volume

$67K

Identifier

KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T130

Jun 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

42¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

41¢

Ask

42¢

Spread

24h volume

$5K

Family rank

#4 of 10

10 outcomes · Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$67K

Orderbook snapshot

41 / 42¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
41¢33
40¢100
40¢126
40¢20
36¢23
AskSize
42¢24
42¢25
43¢211
43¢143
44¢650

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $130 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T130

SF Signal
SF Index
248.68
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

254.9%

IY (No)

123.1%

Adj IY

249%

CRI

1

RV

291%

VR

1.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.442

Observability

low

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

254.9%
123.1%
Adj IY
249%
1
RV
291%
VR
1.79
IAR
0.3/h
-12.000
Overround
2.5%
LAS
0.02

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.