Nasdaq-100 between 31500 and 31999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST
31,500 to 31,999.99 is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Will the Nasdaq-100.
Price history
6¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 31500 and 31999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
31,500 to 31,999.99
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
33,000.01 or above 31¢
Range
1¢-31¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B31750
Jun 25, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$80
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the Nasdaq-100
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 31500 and 31999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B31750
Event family
Will the Nasdaq-100.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
33,000.01 or above 31¢
Current share
1%
33,000.01 or above
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-T33000
18,999.99 or below
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-T19000
29,000 to 29,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B29250
30,000 to 30,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B30250
31,500 to 31,999.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B31750
32,500 to 33,000
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B32750
19,000 to 19,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B19250
19,500 to 19,999.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B19750
25,000 to 25,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B25250
26,000 to 26,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B26250
24,000 to 24,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B24250
23,000 to 23,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B23250
24,500 to 24,999.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B24750
25,500 to 25,999.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B25750
20,000 to 20,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B20250
20,500 to 20,999.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100Y-26DEC31H1600-B20750
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.