0 · Will the next President confirm
0 is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside Will the next President confirm.
Price history
23¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If 0 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
0
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
1 39¢
Range
1¢-39¢
Family volume
$31
Identifier
KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-0
Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$37K
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the next President confirm
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$31
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If 0 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-0
Event family
Will the next President confirm.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$31
Outcomes
5
Highest price
1 39¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 23% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.