Number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development at least 2 in 2026
At least 2 is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least.
Price history
41¢ current
−13¢Contract brief
If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 2
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
At least 2 40¢
Range
9¢-40¢
Family volume
$771
Identifier
KXMORATORIUMCOUNT-26DEC31-AL2
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
40¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$296
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$771
Orderbook snapshot
40 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXMORATORIUMCOUNT-26DEC31-AL2
Event family
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$771
Outcomes
4
Highest price
At least 2 40¢
Current share
38%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 41% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.