Number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development at least 5 in 2026
At least 5 is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least.
Price history
10¢ current
−16¢Contract brief
If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 5
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
At least 2 40¢
Range
9¢-40¢
Family volume
$771
Identifier
KXMORATORIUMCOUNT-26DEC31-AL5
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$200
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$771
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXMORATORIUMCOUNT-26DEC31-AL5
Event family
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$771
Outcomes
4
Highest price
At least 2 40¢
Current share
26%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.