Reserve Bank of Australia · KXCBRATEHIKE-27
Reserve Bank of Australia is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside KXCBRATEHIKE-27.
Price history
60¢ current
−9¢Contract brief
If the Reserve Bank of Australia raising its cash rate target is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Reserve Bank of Australia
Rank
#3 of 8
Leader
Reserve Bank of New Zealand 92¢
Range
15¢-92¢
Family volume
$262
Identifier
KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RBA
Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$25
Family rank
#3 of 8
8 outcomes · KXCBRATEHIKE-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$262
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Reserve Bank of Australia raising its cash rate target is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RBA
Event family
KXCBRATEHIKE-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$262
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Reserve Bank of New Zealand 92¢
Current share
10%
Reserve Bank of New Zealand
kalshi · KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RBN
Norges Bank
kalshi · KXCBRATEHIKE-27-NOR
US Federal Reserve
kalshi · KXCBRATEHIKE-27-FED
Reserve Bank of Australia
kalshi · KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RBA
Riksbank
kalshi · KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RIK
Bank of Canada
kalshi · KXCBRATEHIKE-27-BOC
Bank of England
kalshi · KXCBRATEHIKE-27-BOE
Swiss National Bank
kalshi · KXCBRATEHIKE-27-SNB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.