SimpleFunctions

Swiss National Bank · KXCBRATEHIKE-27

Swiss National Bank is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 8 inside KXCBRATEHIKE-27.

Price history

14¢ current

3¢
10¢20¢
May 28, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If the Swiss National Bank raising the SNB policy rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Swiss National Bank

Rank

#8 of 8

Leader

Reserve Bank of New Zealand 92¢

Range

15¢-92¢

Family volume

$262

Identifier

KXCBRATEHIKE-27-SNB

Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

Reported volume

$411

Family rank

#8 of 8

8 outcomes · KXCBRATEHIKE-27

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$262

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 20¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢63
15¢5
14¢500
3¢46
2¢699
AskSize
20¢46
21¢500
92¢47
93¢4.5K
99¢75

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Swiss National Bank raising the SNB policy rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXCBRATEHIKE-27-SNB

SF Signal
SF Index
547.74
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1095.5%

IY (No)

34.1%

Adj IY

548%

CRI

6

Overround

3.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

1095.5%
34.1%
Adj IY
548%
6
Overround
3.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.