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·Bitcoin & Crypto·Updated 6d ago·1 contract

Bitcoin Holds Strong: ETF Up 2.2%, Markets Eye $65K for July

Bitcoin ETF is up 2.2% as prediction markets show a 58% chance (58¢) of BTC remaining above $65,000 by end of July. Year-end targets show a 13% chance of hitting $100,000.

Avg price
14¢
across related markets
Contracts
1
related to this dispatch
24h volume
$2k
combined contract volume
Venues
Kalshi
single-venue listed

Key takeaways

  • 01

    Bitcoin ETF is up 2.2% as prediction markets show a 58% chance (58¢) of BTC remaining above $65,000 by end of July.

  • 02

    Year-end targets show a 13% chance of hitting $100,000.

  • 03

    Bitcoin is showing strength, with the spot ETF (IBIT) rising 2.2% to $34.77.

Full analysis

Bitcoin is showing strength, with the spot ETF (IBIT) rising 2.2% to $34.77. Prediction market activity is intense around the month-end and year-end price levels. The market `KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JU` indicates a 58% chance (58¢) that BTC's trimmed mean will be above $65,000 by month-end, while `KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JU` shows a 54% probability it will stay above $57,500. The year-end outlook is more cautious, with only a 13% probability for BTC above $100,000 (`KXBTCMAX100-26-DEC`) and a 4% chance of reaching $200,000 by Jan 2027 (`KXBTC2026200-27JAN01`). The market `KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-99` suggests only a 13% chance of breaking $100,000 by year-end.

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