Will both teams score in the 1st Half

The yield curve exhibits a pronounced U-shape with a notable dip in the short-to-medium tenor range. The shortest tenor (15 days) opens at 17.0% YES probability, then compresses significantly across the 16-18 day window where probabilities cluster between 9.0% and 13.0%, with the 20-day tenor reaching a trough at 6.0%. The curve then recovers and steepens substantially in the 25-27 day window, where probabilities spike to 20.0% at multiple points (tau=25d and tau=27d). The cheapest YES probability sits at 6.0% in the 20-day bucket (ECUCUW matchup), representing the market's most pessimistic assessment of the event occurring. This U-shaped structure reveals a bifurcated market view: the market assigns meaningful probability (~17%) to the event happening immediately within 15 days, but then dramatically reprices downward, suggesting skepticism about near-term resolution in the 18-20 day window. The sharp recovery toward the longer tenors indicates the market expects either a delayed resolution or a genuine belief that the event becomes more likely as the window extends. The concentration of 20.0% probabilities at tau=25-27 days suggests the market is positioning for a late-window outcome, implying that whatever condition defines this event family is perceived as more probable to materialize in the final week of the measurement period rather than in the immediate or intermediate term.