Blog
Prediction market analysis, strategies, and research. 6 articles.
A Benchmark for AI Models on Prediction-Market Tasks
A domain benchmark for testing whether models can handle forecast calibration, resolution logic, orderbooks, cross-venue equivalence, thesis updates, and risk gates.
How to Actually Make Money on Kalshi (Not the Advice You'll Find on Reddit)
Monitoring the Situation: From Passive APIs to Proactive Intelligence
The $886M web scraping industry meets 9,706 prediction market contracts. Nobody is building the cross-reference layer. Until now.
Why the Best Trading Terminal Is a Command Line
Bloomberg started as a keyboard. Robinhood ended as confetti. The next generation of trading infrastructure will be judged by how little there is to look at.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
Everything you know about stock orderbooks is almost correct for prediction markets. The "almost" will cost you money if you ignore it.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
Two platforms dominate prediction markets in 2026, but they serve fundamentally different traders — here's what actually matters when you're putting real money on the line.