SimpleFunctions

Georgia Tech win at least 4 games this season

4+ wins is priced at 96¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will Georgia Tech win at least.

Price history

96¢ current

+26¢
75¢100¢
Jul 6, 2026Aug 5, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 4 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

4+ wins

Rank

#1 of 9

Leader

4+ wins 94¢

Range

1¢-94¢

Family volume

$273

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-4

Aug 5, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 5, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

94¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Georgia Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$273

Orderbook snapshot

94 / 97¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
94¢500
79¢115
75¢100
71¢200
AskSize
97¢500
98¢500
99¢575

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 4 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-4

SF Signal
SF Index
4166.55
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

17.0%

IY (No)

4166.5%

Adj IY

4167%

CRI

16

RV

82%

VR

2.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

17.0%
4166.5%
Adj IY
4167%
16
RV
82%
VR
2.00
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
2.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.