SimpleFunctions

Georgia Tech win at least 9 games this season

9+ wins is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 32¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside Will Georgia Tech win at least.

Price history

22¢ current

+17¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

9+ wins

Rank

#8 of 9

Leader

4+ wins 94¢

Range

2¢-94¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-9

Jul 25, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

Ask

36¢

Spread

32¢

24h volume

$190

Family rank

#8 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Georgia Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 36¢

Kalshi
32¢ spread
BidSize
100¢10K
4¢5
2¢10
AskSize
36¢5
39¢25
43¢200
45¢500
47¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-9

SF Signal
SF Index
5921.68
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5921.7%

IY (No)

10.3%

Adj IY

5922%

CRI

24

RV

22119%

VR

15.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5921.7%
10.3%
Adj IY
5922%
24
RV
22119%
VR
15.03
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
2.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.