SimpleFunctions

Georgia Tech win at least 11 games this season

11+ wins is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 22¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside Will Georgia Tech win at least.

Price history

4¢ current

+1¢
0¢5¢
Jul 2, 2026Jul 16, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 11 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

11+ wins

Rank

#8 of 9

Leader

4+ wins 94¢

Range

3¢-94¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-11

Jul 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

Ask

25¢

Spread

22¢

24h volume

$5

Family rank

#8 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Georgia Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 25¢

Kalshi
22¢ spread
BidSize
100¢500
3¢95
2¢510
AskSize
25¢5
26¢1
27¢500
28¢1.0K
30¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 11 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-11

SF Signal
SF Index
3968.23
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7936.5%

IY (No)

7.6%

Adj IY

3968%

CRI

32

Overround

2.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7936.5%
7.6%
Adj IY
3968%
32
Overround
2.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.