SimpleFunctions

Georgia Tech win at least 7 games this season

7+ wins is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside Will Georgia Tech win at least.

Price history

49¢ current

+7¢
40¢50¢60¢
Jun 28, 2026Jul 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 7 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

7+ wins

Rank

#4 of 9

Leader

4+ wins 94¢

Range

3¢-94¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-7

Jul 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

49¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

47¢

Ask

49¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#4 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Georgia Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

47 / 49¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
47¢10
44¢27
42¢105
39¢257
38¢10
AskSize
49¢2.0K
50¢928
52¢846
53¢199
60¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 7 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-7

SF Signal
SF Index
265.97
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

277.8%

IY (No)

218.5%

Adj IY

266%

CRI

1

RV

417%

VR

2.58

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

277.8%
218.5%
Adj IY
266%
1
RV
417%
VR
2.58
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
2.1%
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.