SimpleFunctions

Georgia Tech win at least 6 games this season

6+ wins is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will Georgia Tech win at least.

Price history

65¢ current

+14¢
50¢75¢
Jun 29, 2026Jul 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 6 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

6+ wins

Rank

#3 of 9

Leader

4+ wins 95¢

Range

2¢-95¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-6

Jul 25, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

65¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

57¢

Ask

78¢

Spread

21¢

Reported volume

$27

Family rank

#3 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Georgia Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

57 / 78¢

Kalshi
21¢ spread
BidSize
57¢5
55¢100
51¢500
48¢25
44¢100
AskSize
78¢5
79¢25
81¢100
82¢122
83¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 6 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-6

SF Signal
SF Index
340.68
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

178.6%

IY (No)

340.7%

Adj IY

341%

CRI

1

RV

468%

VR

3.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

178.6%
340.7%
Adj IY
341%
1
RV
468%
VR
3.36
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
2.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.