SimpleFunctions

Georgia Tech win at least 8 games this season

8+ wins is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 9 inside Will Georgia Tech win at least.

Price history

37¢ current

+11¢
20¢30¢40¢
Jun 19, 2026Jul 19, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 8 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

8+ wins

Rank

#5 of 9

Leader

4+ wins 95¢

Range

3¢-95¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-8

Jul 19, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

37¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 19, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

27¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

11¢

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#5 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Georgia Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 38¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
27¢500
26¢1.1K
21¢350
16¢10
15¢10
AskSize
38¢223
41¢250
44¢500
45¢1.0K
69¢53

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 8 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-8

SF Signal
SF Index
641.27
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

641.3%

IY (No)

87.7%

Adj IY

641%

CRI

3

RV

802%

VR

3.38

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

641.3%
87.7%
Adj IY
641%
3
RV
802%
VR
3.38
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
2.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.