SimpleFunctions

Georgia Tech win at least 5 games this season

5+ wins is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside Will Georgia Tech win at least.

Price history

86¢ current

+51¢
50¢75¢
Jun 25, 2026Jul 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 5 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

5+ wins

Rank

#2 of 9

Leader

4+ wins 95¢

Range

2¢-95¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-5

Jul 25, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

86¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

64¢

Ask

92¢

Spread

28¢

24h volume

$500

Family rank

#2 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Georgia Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

64 / 92¢

Kalshi
28¢ spread
BidSize
64¢100
63¢25
59¢100
55¢200
49¢70
AskSize
92¢5
93¢25
96¢472
97¢100
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 5 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26GT-5

SF Signal
SF Index
276.66
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

121.5%

IY (No)

501.0%

Adj IY

277%

CRI

2

RV

647%

VR

5.55

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

121.5%
501.0%
Adj IY
277%
2
RV
647%
VR
5.55
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
2.2%
LAS
0.45

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.