Best AI in Dec 2026?

The 60¢ price reflects a moderately bullish lean on Anthropic's AI dominance by year-end 2026, but the asymmetric implied yields (110.9% for Yes vs. 179.6% for No) suggest the market is pricing in meaningful uncertainty about whether Anthropic can maintain or capture the top ranking. With 259 days to expiry and relatively modest 24-hour volume of $12,970.53 against $428k open interest, liquidity is adequate but not deep, and the 158% realized volatility indicates this market experiences significant price swings despite the flat 7-day price action. The 1.46 vol ratio and 0.5/hour information arrival rate suggest traders are actively processing AI capability announcements, making this a sentiment-driven market where near-term model releases or benchmark results could trigger material repricing.

Resolution rules

If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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