How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
Prediction markets currently give a 29% probability that How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?. This contract trades at 29¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.
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29¢Bid/Ask 25/34¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $308.37·Closes Jan 1, 2027·246d remaining
KXFERT-26-1400
7-day price33 snapshots · 10 regime
34¢25¢ current
Apr 204¢Apr 30
Resolution rules
If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1400 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Computed
4/30/2026, 11:21:26 AM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 11:23:51 AM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXFERT-26-1400 yes 100