How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.
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19¢Bid/Ask 16/24¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $200·OI $300·Closes Jan 1, 2027·246d remaining
KXFERT-26-1600
7-day price28 snapshots · 11 regime
16¢16¢ current
Apr 202¢Apr 30
Resolution rules
If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1600 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Computed
4/30/2026, 11:20:46 AM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 11:23:51 AM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXFERT-26-1600 yes 100