How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$1K
Best sibling
Above 140 84¢
Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-200
Price history
6¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 7¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If SpaceX has more than 200 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-200
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 6¢, 0¢ versus this page.
Event family
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above 120 94¢
Current share
0%
Above 200
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-200
Above 140
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-140
Above 160
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-160
Above 180
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-180
Above 120
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-120
Above 170
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-170
Above 190
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-190
Above 210
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-210
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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