SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026?

This contract is priced at 75¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 23¢ spread.

Implied probability

75¢
$4K volume
$1K liquidity
1690% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$227

Best sibling

Alec Baldwin 96¢

Ticker

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-DJT

Price history

75¢ current

+31¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 98¢

Kalshi
23¢ spread
BidSize
75¢16
74¢823
72¢476
71¢500
62¢16
AskSize
98¢1.0K
99¢125

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-DJT

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

50.2%

IY (No)

451.4%

Adj IY

451%

CRI

3

RV

283%

VR

4.07

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

50.2%
451.4%
Adj IY
451%
3
RV
283%
VR
4.07
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
3.0%

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