What is the current probability for "Who will be picked 1st in the Pro Football Draft?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 5¢ (5% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 22, 2027. 384 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Who will be picked 1st in the Pro Football Draft?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2281.1% and 4.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Who will be picked 1st in the Pro Football Draft?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiMay 22, 2027384 days left

Who will be picked 1st in the Pro Football Draft?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

5¢

$2K volume

$2K liquidity

95% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

Drew Mestemaker 4¢

Ticker

KXNFLDRAFTPICK-27-1-JSAY

Price history

5¢ current

Apr 24, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 5¢

Kalshi

1¢ spread

BidSize

100¢5.1K

4¢2.0K

3¢1.0K

2¢348

AskSize

5¢1.4K

6¢100

7¢55

10¢5.0K

13¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Julian Sayin is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 22, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDRAFTPICK-27-1-JSAY

Event family

Who will be picked 1st in the Pro Football Draft.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

Highest price

Arch Manning 21¢

Current share

10%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Julian Sayin

kalshi · KXNFLDRAFTPICK-27-1-JSAY

4¢$242$2420.3

Drew Mestemaker