Who will win the next presidential election?
This contract is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$183K
Best sibling
Tucker Carlson 2¢
Ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-JVAN
Price history
19¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
18 / 19¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If J.D. Vance is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 7, 2029
Identifier
KXPRESPERSON-28-JVAN
Event family
Who will win the next presidential election.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$183K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
J.D. Vance 18¢
Current share
2%
J.D. Vance
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-JVAN
Tucker Carlson
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-TCAR
Wes Moore
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-WMOO
Donald J. Trump Jr.
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRUJR
Stephen A. Smith
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-SSMI
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-GNEWS
Kamala Harris
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-KHAR
Andy Beshear
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-ABES
Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB
Josh Shapiro
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-JSHA
Jon Ossoff
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-JOSS
Ron DeSantis
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-RDES
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-AOCA
Donald J. Trump
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRU
Mark Kelly
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-MKEL
Pete Buttigieg
kalshi · KXPRESPERSON-28-PBUT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.