Arizona St · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26
Arizona St. is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.
Price history
3¢ current
Contract brief
If Arizona St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Arizona St.
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Texas Tech 59¢
Range
4¢-59¢
Family volume
$637
Identifier
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ASU
Jun 27, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$869
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Family volume
$637
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Arizona St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ASU
Event family
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$637
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Texas Tech 59¢
Current share
0%
Texas Tech
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-TTU
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ALA
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-LSU
Oklahoma
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-OKLA
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MISS
Michigan
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH
USC
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-USC
Florida
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-FLA
Washington
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-WASH
SMU
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-SMU
Kansas St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-KSU
South Carolina
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-SCAR
California
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-CAL
Arizona
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ARIZ
TCU
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-TCU
Arizona St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ASU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.