Penn St · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26
Penn St. is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.
Price history
26¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Penn St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Penn St.
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Indiana 68¢
Range
1¢-68¢
Family volume
$904
Identifier
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-PSU
Jun 22, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Family volume
$904
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Penn St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-PSU
Event family
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$904
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Indiana 68¢
Current share
1%
Indiana
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-IND
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-LSU
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ALA
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MISS
Texas A&M
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-TXAM
USC
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-USC
Penn St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-PSU
Michigan
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH
Louisville
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-LOU
Auburn
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-AUB
Houston
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-HOU
Arizona St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ASU
Arizona
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ARIZ
Missouri
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MIZZ
Baylor
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-BAY
Arkansas
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ARK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.386
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.