Ben Rice and Jac Caglianone · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26
Ben Rice and Jac Caglianone is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26.
Price history
14¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Ben Rice and Jac Caglianone is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ben Rice and Jac Caglianone
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero 9¢
Range
2¢-9¢
Family volume
$14K
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BRICE22JCAGLIANONE14
Jul 12, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 48m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$75
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Family volume
$14K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ben Rice and Jac Caglianone is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BRICE22JCAGLIANONE14
Event family
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$14K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero 9¢
Current share
0%
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAMINERO13
Munetaka Murakami and Kyle Schwarber
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5KSCHWARBER12
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BHARPER3
Kyle Schwarber and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BRICE22
Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAGLIANONE14
Munetaka Murakami and Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5JCAMINERO13
Junior Caminero and Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13JWALKER18
Junior Caminero and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13JCAGLIANONE14
Bryce Harper and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3JCAGLIANONE14
Bryce Harper and Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3JCAMINERO13
Junior Caminero and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13BRICE22
Ben Rice and Willson Contreras
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BRICE22WCONTRERAS40
Munetaka Murakami and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5JCAGLIANONE14
Ben Rice and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BRICE22JCAGLIANONE14
Ben Rice and Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BRICE22JWALKER18
Bryce Harper and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3BRICE22
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.