Caltech · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27
Caltech is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 11 inside KXCOLLEGEDROP-27.
Price history
33¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Caltech has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Caltech
Rank
#6 of 11
Leader
Yale 53¢
Range
18¢-53¢
Family volume
$37
Identifier
KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-CAL
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$58
Family rank
#6 of 11
11 outcomes · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$37
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Caltech has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-CAL
Event family
KXCOLLEGEDROP-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$37
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Yale 53¢
Current share
0%
Yale
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-YAL
Columbia
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-COL
Notre Dame
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-NOT
UCLA
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-UCL
Harvard
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-HAR
Caltech
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-CAL
Stanford
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-STA
University of Texas at Austin
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-UTA
MIT
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-MIT
Princeton
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-PRI
Georgia Tech
kalshi · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-GT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.