SimpleFunctions

Princeton · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27

Princeton is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 11 inside KXCOLLEGEDROP-27.

Price history

20¢ current

+1¢
15¢20¢
May 28, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Princeton has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Princeton

Rank

#10 of 11

Leader

Yale 53¢

Range

18¢-53¢

Family volume

$37

Identifier

KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-PRI

Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

Reported volume

$55

Family rank

#10 of 11

11 outcomes · KXCOLLEGEDROP-27

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$37

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 25¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3.5K
20¢5
19¢500
AskSize
25¢9
26¢500
51¢1
97¢5.0K
98¢47

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Princeton has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXCOLLEGEDROP-27-PRI

SF Signal
SF Index
384.77
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

769.5%

IY (No)

48.1%

Adj IY

385%

CRI

4

Overround

2.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

769.5%
48.1%
Adj IY
385%
4
Overround
2.5%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Bloginsights

Prediction Markets Are the Best Real-Time Sensor for World Events

Why prediction market prices are faster and more accurate than news for understanding world events. A guide for developers and AI agents.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.