SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will Childish Gambino have a top 20 song this year?

This contract is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 12¢ spread.

Implied probability

20¢
$30 volume
$28 liquidity
265% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$11

Best sibling

Travis Scott 45¢

Ticker

KX20SONG-26DEC26-CHI

Market snapshot

Childish Gambino in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Childish Gambino have a top 20 song this year?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $30. In the KX20SONG-26DEC26 family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Childish Gambino

Family rank

#14 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

20¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

Reported volume

$30

Family context

16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26

Quote range

2¢-99¢

Family leader

Drake 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KX20SONG-26DEC26-CHI. Family volume: $11.

Price history

20¢ current

+11¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 20¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
100¢727
8¢200
3¢130
AskSize
20¢200
23¢400
40¢400
62¢1.3K
74¢44

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Childish Gambino has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KX20SONG-26DEC26-CHI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1790.9%

IY (No)

13.5%

Adj IY

895%

CRI

12

Overround

14.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1790.9%
13.5%
Adj IY
895%
12
Overround
14.2%

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