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KalshiDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

6¢
$385K volume
$95K liquidity
10441% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

María Corina Machado 15¢

Ticker

KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-EGON

Market snapshot

Edmundo González in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $35. In the KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31 family, this outcome ranks #4 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Edmundo González

Family rank

#4 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$35

Family context

13 outcomes · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31

Quote range

1¢-63¢

Family leader

Nicolás Maduro 63¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-EGON. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

6¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 6¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
5¢500
5¢204
5¢200
5¢507
4¢500
AskSize
6¢62
6¢500
7¢40
8¢99
10¢281

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Edmundo González Urrutia officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-EGON

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2934.2%

IY (No)

8.1%

Adj IY

1174%

CRI

19

Overround

0.2%

LAS

0.20

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

2934.2%
8.1%
Adj IY
1174%
19
Overround
0.2%
LAS
0.20

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