SimpleFunctions
KalshiApr 1, 2027327 days left

Will government spending increase by 100000000000 before 2027?

This contract is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

90¢
$28 volume
$16 liquidity

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

At least $1 billion 95¢

Ticker

KXGOVTSPEND-27-100B

Market snapshot

At least $100 billion in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will government spending increase by 100000000000 before 2027?. The displayed quote is 90¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $28. In the Will government spending increase family, this outcome ranks #3 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least $100 billion

Family rank

#3 of 9

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

90¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Apr 1, 2027

Reported volume

$28

Family context

9 outcomes · Will government spending increase

Quote range

8¢-95¢

Family leader

At least $1 billion 95¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXGOVTSPEND-27-100B. Family volume: .

Price history

90¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 14, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

91 / 99¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
91¢8
91¢500
90¢150
79¢16
71¢31
AskSize
99¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If government spending increases by at least $100 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Apr 1, 2027

Identifier

KXGOVTSPEND-27-100B

Event family

Will government spending increase.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

9

Highest price

At least $1 billion 95¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11.0%

IY (No)

1127.1%

Adj IY

564%

CRI

10

Overround

4.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

political

Full indicator table

11.0%
1127.1%
Adj IY
564%
10
Overround
4.9%

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