Will government spending increase by 400000000000 before 2027?
This contract is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 10¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
At least $1 billion 95¢
Ticker
KXGOVTSPEND-27-400B
Market snapshot
At least $400 billion in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will government spending increase by 400000000000 before 2027?. The displayed quote is 64¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Will government spending increase family, this outcome ranks #6 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
At least $400 billion
Family rank
#6 of 9
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
64¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Apr 1, 2027
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
9 outcomes · Will government spending increase
Quote range
8¢-95¢
Family leader
At least $1 billion 95¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Venue identifier: KXGOVTSPEND-27-400B. Family volume: —.
Price history
64¢ current
−7¢Orderbook snapshot
64 / 74¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If government spending increases by at least $400 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGOVTSPEND-27-400B
Event family
Will government spending increase.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least $1 billion 95¢
Current share
—
At least $400 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-400B
At least $1 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-1B
At least $50 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-50B
At least $100 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-100B
At least $200 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-200B
At least $300 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-300B
At least $500 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-500B
At least $750 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-750B
At least $1 trillion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-1000B
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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