Will government spending increase by 1000000000 before 2027?
This contract is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
At least $50 billion 94¢
Ticker
KXGOVTSPEND-27-1B
Market snapshot
At least $1 billion in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will government spending increase by 1000000000 before 2027?. The displayed quote is 95¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $62. In the Will government spending increase family, this outcome ranks #1 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
At least $1 billion
Family rank
#1 of 9
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
95¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Apr 1, 2027
Reported volume
$62
Family context
9 outcomes · Will government spending increase
Quote range
8¢-95¢
Family leader
At least $1 billion 95¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: KXGOVTSPEND-27-1B. Family volume: —.
Price history
95¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 100¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If government spending increases by at least $1 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGOVTSPEND-27-1B
Event family
Will government spending increase.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least $1 billion 95¢
Current share
—
At least $1 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-1B
At least $50 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-50B
At least $100 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-100B
At least $200 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-200B
At least $300 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-300B
At least $400 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-400B
At least $500 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-500B
At least $750 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-750B
At least $1 trillion
kalshi · KXGOVTSPEND-27-1000B
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle
Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 95% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.