Jamieson Greer · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
Jamieson Greer is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.
Price history
17¢ current
Contract brief
If Jamieson Greer leaves as United States Trade Representative before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jamieson Greer
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Todd Blanche 66¢
Range
13¢-66¢
Family volume
$56K
Identifier
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JGRE
Jul 13, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 59m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$56K
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jamieson Greer leaves as United States Trade Representative before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JGRE
Event family
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$56K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Todd Blanche 66¢
Current share
0%
Todd Blanche
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TBLA
Amy Gleason
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-AGLE
Kash Patel
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT
Howard Lutnick
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-HLUT
Susie Wiles
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIL
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RFK
Bill Pulte
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BPUL
Mike Huckabee
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MHUC
Lee Zeldin
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL
Pete Hegseth
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PHEG
Stephen Miller
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SMIL
Scott Bessent
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SBES
Jamieson Greer
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JGRE
Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MRUB
Doug Collins
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-DCOL
Scott Turner
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-STUR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 17% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.