Matt Chapman · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Matt Chapman is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
Price history
21¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Matt Chapman records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Matt Chapman
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Yordan Alvarez 91¢
Range
1¢-91¢
Family volume
$258
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-MCHAPMAN26
Jun 22, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$329
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$258
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Matt Chapman records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-MCHAPMAN26
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$258
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Yordan Alvarez 91¢
Current share
0%
Yordan Alvarez
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-YALVAREZ44
Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BRICE22
Nick Kurtz
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-NKURTZ16
Pete Alonso
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PALONSO25
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BHARPER3
Pete Crow-Armstrong
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-AJUDGE99
Zach Neto
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ZNETO9
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BLOWE5
Brent Rooker
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BROOKER25
Austin Riley
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ARILEY27
Jose Ramirez
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-JRAMIREZ11
Matt Chapman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-MCHAPMAN26
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ABREGMAN3
Vinnie Pasquantino
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-VPASQUANTINO9
Ronald Acuña Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-RACUNA13
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.