San Jose · KXMLSWEST-26
San Jose is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside KXMLSWEST-26.
Price history
19¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If San Jose is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Western Conference champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
San Jose
Rank
#3 of 15
Leader
Vancouver 24¢
Range
1¢-24¢
Family volume
$589
Identifier
KXMLSWEST-26-SJ
Jun 26, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$585
Family rank
#3 of 15
15 outcomes · KXMLSWEST-26
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$589
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If San Jose is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Western Conference champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXMLSWEST-26-SJ
Event family
KXMLSWEST-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$589
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Vancouver 24¢
Current share
99%
Vancouver
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-VAN
Los Angeles F
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-LAFC
San Jose
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-SJ
San Diego
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-SD
Seattle
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-SEA
Minnesota
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-MIN
Austin
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-ATX
Los Angeles G
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-LAG
Portland
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-POR
Salt Lake
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-RSL
Kansas City
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-SKC
Saint Louis
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-STL
Colorado
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-COL
Dallas
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-DAL
Houston
kalshi · KXMLSWEST-26-HOU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.