SimpleFunctions

Washington · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Washington is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.

Price history

19¢ current

15¢20¢
May 29, 2026Jun 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Washington is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Washington

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Notre Dame 81¢

Range

1¢-81¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-WASH

Jun 28, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 28, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

24h volume

$79

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 25¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
20¢5
19¢14
18¢103
16¢51
14¢25
AskSize
25¢423
26¢2.0K
28¢25
29¢1.0K
30¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Washington is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-WASH

SF Signal
SF Index
396.21
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

792.4%

IY (No)

49.5%

Adj IY

396%

CRI

4

Overround

9.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

792.4%
49.5%
Adj IY
396%
4
Overround
9.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.