Wilyer Abreu · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Wilyer Abreu is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
Price history
8¢ current
Contract brief
If Wilyer Abreu records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Wilyer Abreu
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Yordan Alvarez 91¢
Range
3¢-91¢
Family volume
$510
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-WABREU52
Jun 22, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$510
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Wilyer Abreu records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-WABREU52
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$510
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Yordan Alvarez 91¢
Current share
0%
Yordan Alvarez
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-YALVAREZ44
Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BRICE22
Pete Alonso
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PALONSO25
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BHARPER3
Pete Crow-Armstrong
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-AJUDGE99
Zach Neto
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ZNETO9
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BLOWE5
Brent Rooker
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BROOKER25
Oneil Cruz
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-OCRUZ15
Austin Riley
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ARILEY27
Tyler Soderstrom
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-TSODERSTROM21
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BTURANG2
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ABREGMAN3
Wilyer Abreu
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-WABREU52
Vinnie Pasquantino
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-VPASQUANTINO9
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.