Xi Jinping · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Xi Jinping is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01.
Price history
3¢ current
Contract brief
If Xi Jinping has either officially announced their intention to leave as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China or has actually left General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Xi Jinping
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Benjamin Netanyahu 47¢
Range
1¢-47¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-XJINCHI
Sep 20, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Xi Jinping has either officially announced their intention to leave as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China or has actually left General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-XJINCHI
Event family
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Benjamin Netanyahu 47¢
Current share
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISR
Christopher Luxon
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PLUXPMNZ
Friedrich Merz
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FMERCGER
Miguel Díaz-Canel
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC
Pedro Sánchez
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PSANPM
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LSILBRA
Delcy Rodriguez
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DRODAPRE
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
Xi Jinping
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-XJINCHI
Mohammed bin Salman
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MBSSARA
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CSHEPMEX
Sanae Takaichi
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-STAKJAP
Giorgia Meloni
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GMELITA
Narendra Modi
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NMODIND
Mark Carney
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MCARCAN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.