Will cartunez by Ken Carson have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026 tracking week

The yield curve displays a dramatic steepening pattern, with the 3-day tenor (tau=3d) markets showing a sharp bimodal distribution and the 10-day tenor (tau=10d) markets exhibiting substantially lower probabilities across comparable strike levels. At the 3-day horizon, YES probabilities cluster at extreme values: strikes below 100K trade at 99%, while strikes from 110K to 150K collapse from 85% down to 1-3%, creating a cliff-like structure. The cheapest YES probability at 3 days appears at the 130K-150K strikes at just 1-3%. By contrast, the 10-day markets show a more gradual probability decay, with the 20K strike at 98% declining smoothly to 4% at 300K. This represents a significant flattening and rightward shift of the probability distribution as time extends, indicating the market expects substantial uncertainty resolution or outcome drift between day 3 and day 10. The curve's shape reveals the market's expectation that a critical event or threshold will be crossed within the next three days. The extreme concentration of 99% probability on lower strikes at tau=3d suggests near-certainty that an outcome will fall below approximately 100K by July 26. However, the dramatic probability collapse at higher strikes and the subsequent flattening at 10 days implies the market views the 3-day deadline as a hard decision point. The gentler slope at 10 days suggests that if the event hasn't resolved by day 3, the market expects greater dispersion of possible outcomes, with meaningful probability mass extending to higher strike levels. This pattern is consistent with a market pricing in a binary or near-binary event occurring imminently, followed by potential repr